Prediction Markets
Active Markets
YES
Starting
Current Balance
P&L
Positions
Fees
Filled ()
Resting () Waiting for someone to match
Calibration Curve
When Claude says X%, how often does it happen? Perfect = diagonal line.
Wins ()
Losses ()
Net P&L
My Picks
Standalone bets — not part of any campaignFilled ()
cost
Resting ()
Wins ()
Losses ()
Net P&L
·
YES
NO
⚠ Low-signal market
This looks like a multi-leg parlay without per-leg data. Claude has no way to estimate independent leg probabilities, so it will almost certainly return 50% · HOLD and burn ~$0.015. Pick a single-prop market (weather, single sport prop, economics) for a meaningful edge estimate.
Uses weather/sports/crypto tools where applicable. ~10-30s.
Analyzing…
Fetching market data, running Claude with category tools
Claude estimate
Edge
Base rate:
Evidence
Counter-arguments
Key risks
Place bet on Kalshi
Total cost: · If WIN:
New Prediction Campaign
Live Mode — Real Money on Kalshi
Places real limit orders on Kalshi. Uses your actual balance. Real P&L. Risk limits still apply.
Campaign will NEVER spend more than this. Kalshi account has
Dashboard
Portfolio Value
Total P&L
Campaigns
Pending Approvals
Campaigns
| ID | Name | Mode | Status | Start | End | Starting | Current | P&L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Recent Trades
🎯 Deterministic strategy — runs without Claude API costs
Dip Buyer Settings
Live Mode — Real Money
Uses your actual exchange balance. Real orders will be placed. Real P&L. Real losses possible. Position size caps, stop-losses, and risk limits still apply.
Round-trip cost: % (buy + sell). Kraken: 0.1-0.26%
Campaign auto-stops after this date. Leave blank for no limit.
Risk Limits ?
Advanced Execution ?
Trailing Stops ?
Stop drags up as price rises (lock in gains)
Kelly Position Sizing ?
Bet bigger on high-confidence trades
Limit Orders ?
Save slippage vs market orders
Auto-Blacklist Losers ?
Stop trading coins that consistently lose
Cost Controls ?
Haiku Pre-Screener ?
Cheap Haiku decides what deserves full Sonnet analysis (~70% savings)
Wash Sale Protection ?
Schedule ?
Started
Starting Funds
Current Value
Total P&L
Win Rate
Total Trades
Drawdown
Best Trade
Worst Trade
Exchange Fees
Available Cash
Cost vs Profit ?
Updated liveGross P&L
API Costs
Net P&L
Performance by Coin
Activity Summary
Complete Trade History
Sharpe Ratio
>1 is good, >2 is great
Best Coin
Worst Coin
Per-Coin Performance
Campaign Settings
Pending Approvals
Trade History
Settings
Data Sources
Every external feed the bot reads from. Green = healthy, red = down (bets requiring that data are skipped). The Last Input column turns red when a source hasn't produced a successful call in over 24 hours.
| Source | Status | Success Rate | Last Input |
|---|---|---|---|
| — |